Margins can only be improved by increasing sales prices, or reducing
costs. As prices in real terms for many of the industry’s staple
products have eroded over many years, the focus has long been on
reducing costs. Indeed, in our recent report CEO Perspectives, Viewpoints of CEOs in the forest, paper & packaging industry 2010
virtually all CEOs report that their companies have been actively
cutting costs. These measures do not guarantee increased margins, if
they do not offset increases in the cost of raw materials or in other
key inputs such as energy and transportation. The industry tendency to
pass cost savings through to customers rather than building returns for
its investors will need to change.
The volatility of energy costs is of particular concern, and
potentially affected more by government action than by market forces.
Many executives attempt to hedge against this volatility by increasing
energy efficiency and their own capacity to generate power internally.
Transport costs represent another significant line item, largely
linked to oil price fluctuations. For some, locked into high transport
costs, it may mean a shift in production locations.
Improving cost structures means reducing the cost of inputs and
processes through savings and efficiencies and not competing away those
gains by chasing sales prices down. It means a change in mindset away
from volume and capacity utilisation, to focus on margin. It therefore
means the closure of both unprofitable capacity and even currently
profitable capacity if that enhances the overall return on the remaining
assets. In short, a radical overhaul of business models may be
necessary to achieve real and sustained margin improvement from existing
product platforms
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